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Will Scotty Scheffler win four majors? He is the closest comparison to Tiger


Scottie Scheffler has been running hot for the past two years or so. But this season he has taken the boil to another level. In nine events, he has won three of his eight top-10 finishes.

The Masters victory is just the latest on that list, as Scheffler's game continues to rock the golf odds world.

“He's the closest comparison to Tiger Woods,” SuperBook Golf Oddsmaker Jeff Sherman Said “Well Tiger and now, we've compared others in this manner. But Scotty is the closest we've seen.”

So, in the wake of Scheffler's convincing win last week — his second green jacket in three years — Sherman decided to post an interesting golf prop bet: Will Scheffler win four majors this season?

Sherman and Fox Sports betting expert Chris “The Bear” Falica Scheffler dive into the slam.

A little bet, a lot of wins

On Sunday night, just hours after Scheffler defeated Masters Field by four shots, Sherman Scheffler made the 2024 Grand Slam prop.

Odds opened at +8000 (80/1) and are yet to be moved. Simple math for a bet on this market: If you bet $100 on Scheffler and he goes on to win the 2024 PGA Championship, the US Open and The Open Championship – aka the British Open – you'd make $8,000 for a total payout of $8,100.

“I like that it's being offered. Obviously, there's an appetite for these types of props, as a 'bet a little, win a lot' kind of bet,” Falica said. “Anything to get people interested in golf and to bet on golf is good for the growth of the industry.”

But it takes a special player to generate that interest. Scheffler is that player.

Last month, he won the Arnold Palmer Invitational and The Players Championship in back-to-back weeks. He took a week off, then finished second at the Texas Children's Houston Open.

Then Scheffler won the Masters again. Looking back over the past two seasons, he finished second at the 2023 PGA Championship and the 2022 US Open.

“A few years ago, when Tiger was running well we would offer the right number of big wins. There was interest then, but recently, interest has waned,” Sherman said. “With Scotty winning the first leg of the four, we revisited it.

“Winning The Players Championship — often considered a fifth major — also plays into his perception of his potential to pull off the feat.”

Will Scottie Scheffler finally be a top golfer after winning his second Masters?

Will Scottie Scheffler finally be a top golfer after winning his second Masters?

Doing the odds math

So how did Sherman reach Scheffler's +8000 to win four majors?

“It's not hard to price it. It's just a three-team rollover parlay, using the prices we'd expect him to win every subsequent major.” “He's currently +400 (to win) the PGA Championship. If he wins this one, His +450 odds will become +350 for the US Open.

“And if he wins the US Open, his +500 becomes +300 for the Open Championship.”

The challenge for betting is whether Scheffler, winning, can force Sherman to adjust those odds. The PGA Championship is May 16-19 at Valhalla, the US Open is June 13-16 at Pinehurst and the Open Championship is July 18-21 at Royal Troon.

“It's going to be tough to do, just because of the number of competitors Scotty has to deal with,” Falica said. “But if you look at the next two major venues — Valhalla and Pinehurst — both courses fit Scheffler's strengths in play: the irons.

“Even if he wins at Valhalla next month, it will create a ton of buzz for the sport.”

Should Scheffler somehow prevail at Pinehurst, then comes the biggest wild card.

“Royal Troon is obviously going to be impossible to predict because a lot of handicapping in The Open Championship is at the mercy of the weather and if you're on the good side of the draw or the bad side of the draw,” Falica said.

To bet or not to bet

Is the Scheffler Slam worth making a bet on? Well, yes, but be careful that you keep your expectations — and accordingly, your bet size — reasonable. As Falika mentioned above, bet a little to win a lot.

“For a splash, sure. It's not a bet I'd expect to win,” he said. “But it will be one of those things that I'll find on my account on Sunday at the PGA and be like, 'Oh, that's cool'.”

He also noted that the competitive LIV golf tour could positively impact Scheffler's chances of delivering a historic year.

“One thing to keep in mind with these few majors: Are LIV golfers exempt at the majors? Obviously, Jon Rahm has one at the US Open and Cam Smith has one at The Open Championship,” Follica said. “But with ranking points disappearing, it could take some big names out of a Slam (tournament). So just check if some of those big names can defect to LIV, which will definitely help Scheffler.”

Fallica also suggested an alternative way to play that might be interesting if you're already on the Scheffler train for the Masters.

“If you really want to play it with the ability to potentially lock in a profit, take some of your Masters wins and put it on top of that to win the PGA and keep rolling over your winning percentage. That would be the smartest way to do it,” Falica said.

Scheffler and wife Meredith are expecting their first child soon. Neither Falica nor Sherman thinks it will affect Scheffler's performance.

“The impact will be on his game schedule, not his play during the tournament,” Sherman said.

“I don't think there's any impact on anything,” Falica added.

And early action from the Scheffler Slam prop shows bettors aren't too concerned.

“We've seen some early support at 80/1, the biggest one being the $150 ticket,” Sherman said of a bet that could net $12,000. “I definitely think Scheffler can make it interesting by winning the Masters in four without his best stuff.”

Patrick Everson is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a prominent journalist in the national sports betting space. He is based in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golf in 110-degree heat. Follow him on Twitter: @Patrick_Vegas.


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